Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations
This paper studies uncertainty using the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters’ data. We consider both inflation and real GDP growth forecasts at the micro level and explore forecast uncertainty using two alternative measures, i.e. conventional standard deviation of individual point forecasts and the median values of individual forecasters’ uncertainty, which are based on subjective probabilit...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Empirica
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0340-8744,1573-6911
DOI: 10.1007/s10663-013-9225-z